SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 87.49%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 3.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 4-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.07%), while for a Meizhou Hakka win it was 1-2 (1.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
87.49% ( 0.98) | 8.66% ( -0.52) | 3.85% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 44.29% ( -1.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.85% ( 0.09) | 25.15% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.88% ( 0.12) | 45.11% ( -0.11) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.29% ( 0.17) | 3.71% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 84.07% ( 0.53) | 15.93% ( -0.53) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46% ( -1.96) | 54% ( 1.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.73% ( -1.24) | 87.27% ( 1.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 3-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.22)4-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.45)3-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.26)1-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.37)4-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 3.99% ( 0)6-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.2)6-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.14)7-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.14)5-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.07)7-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.87% Total : 87.47% | 1-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.21)0-0 @ 2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.53% Total : 8.66% | 1-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.36% Total : 3.85% |
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