SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 64.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 14.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Qingdao Hainiu win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Qingdao Hainiu |
64.24% ( 0.04) | 20.85% ( 0.02) | 14.91% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.46% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.09% ( -0.17) | 46.91% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.84% ( -0.16) | 69.16% ( 0.16) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.12% ( -0.04) | 13.89% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.7% ( -0.09) | 41.3% ( 0.09) |
| Qingdao Hainiu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.27% ( -0.18) | 43.73% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.1% ( -0.15) | 79.9% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Qingdao Hainiu |
| 1-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.85% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.52% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 64.23% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.82% Total : 20.85% | 0-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.08% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.46% Total : 14.91% |
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