SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Shanghai Shenhua win it was 1-2 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
55.94% ( 0) | 22.08% ( -0) | 21.97% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 57.74% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.84% ( 0.01) | 41.16% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.45% ( 0.01) | 63.55% ( -0.01) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.41% ( 0) | 14.59% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.33% ( 0.01) | 42.67% ( -0.01) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.61% ( 0) | 32.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.1% ( 0) | 68.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% 1-0 @ 9.1% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 6.33% 3-0 @ 5.62% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.05% 4-0 @ 2.7% 4-2 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 1.17% 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 55.94% | 1-1 @ 10.25% 2-2 @ 5.56% 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.08% | 1-2 @ 5.78% 0-1 @ 5.33% ( -0)0-2 @ 3% 1-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 21.97% |
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