SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 51.02%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 23.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Shanghai Shenhua win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
51.02% ( 0.01) | 25.95% ( -0.01) | 23.03% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 47.03% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.01% ( 0.02) | 55.99% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.92% ( 0.02) | 77.08% ( -0.01) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.99% ( 0.02) | 22.01% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.67% ( 0.02) | 55.33% ( -0.02) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.31% ( 0.01) | 39.7% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.63% ( 0.01) | 76.37% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 13.22% 2-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.67% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 51% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0)Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.07% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.65% 0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.38% Total : 23.03% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
