While Montreal have made a very positive start to the season, they will be starting to feel the effects of travelling week-on-week, especially after an intense battle down in Miami last time out. This looks like a very even contest on paper, and we feel there will be nothing to split these two at the final whistle.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
-0) 
0.01) 
