SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 64.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 14.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New York City FC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for New York City FC.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Chicago Fire |
64.99% ( -0.01) | 20.66% ( 0) | 14.36% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 47.7% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.8% ( -0.01) | 47.2% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.57% ( -0.01) | 69.43% ( 0) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.25% ( -0) | 13.75% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.97% ( -0.01) | 41.03% ( 0.01) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.3% | 44.7% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.31% ( 0) | 80.69% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 1-0 @ 12.19% 2-0 @ 12.09% 2-1 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 8% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.97% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.2% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.59% 5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.29% 5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 64.98% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.66% | 0-1 @ 4.95% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.95% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.99% 1-3 @ 1.06% 2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 1.35% Total : 14.36% |
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