SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 54.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | CF Montreal |
54.88% ( -0.11) | 23.89% ( -0.05) | 21.24% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 50.81% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.14% ( 0.38) | 49.86% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.15% ( 0.34) | 71.85% ( -0.34) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.95% ( 0.1) | 18.05% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.05% ( 0.17) | 48.95% ( -0.17) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62% ( 0.37) | 38% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.23% ( 0.36) | 74.77% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 1-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.4% Total : 54.87% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.89% | 0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.57% Total : 21.24% |
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