SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 25.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Portland Timbers |
50.24% ( 0.07) | 24.64% ( -0.07) | 25.12% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 53.08% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.89% ( 0.28) | 49.11% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.82% ( 0.25) | 71.18% ( -0.24) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.44% ( 0.14) | 19.56% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.52% ( 0.22) | 51.48% ( -0.22) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66% ( 0.15) | 34% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.32% ( 0.16) | 70.68% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.95% Total : 50.24% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 25.12% |
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