SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 53.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 22.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Chicago Fire |
53.49% ( -0.27) | 24.29% ( 0.11) | 22.22% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 50.91% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.61% ( -0.26) | 50.39% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.67% ( -0.23) | 72.32% ( 0.23) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.23% ( -0.2) | 18.77% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.83% ( -0.34) | 50.17% ( 0.34) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.67% ( 0.01) | 37.32% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.89% ( 0.01) | 74.11% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 1-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.15% Total : 53.49% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.67% Total : 22.22% |
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