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Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Jan Breydelstadion
L

Brugge
2 - 0
Lugano

Thiago (62' pen.), Vanaken (90+6')
Thiago (47'), Vanaken (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Marques (41'), Mahmoud (43'), Steffen (66'), Sabbatini (74'), El Wafi (90+5')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Group Stage clash between Club Brugge and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union SG 2-1 Brugge
Sunday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Lausanne 3-1 Lugano
Saturday, November 4 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 57.18%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 21.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.

Result
Club BruggeDrawLugano
57.18% (0.00099999999999767 0) 21.3% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 21.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 59.82% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.88% (0.030999999999999 0.03)38.11% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.61% (0.033999999999999 0.03)60.39% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.81% (0.010000000000005 0.01)13.19% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.09% (0.022000000000006 0.02)39.91% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.91% (0.022000000000006 0.02)31.09% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.59% (0.025999999999996 0.03)67.41% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Club Brugge 57.18%
    Lugano 21.51%
    Draw 21.3%
Club BruggeDrawLugano
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.31% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.68% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.88% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 3.36% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.96% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 57.18%
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.3%
1-2 @ 5.67%
0-1 @ 4.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 21.51%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Union SG 2-1 Brugge
Sunday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 2-1 Antwerp
Sunday, October 29 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Lugano 1-3 Brugge
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Kortrijk 1-0 Brugge
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Standard Liege 2-1 Brugge
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 0-1 Brugge
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lausanne 3-1 Lugano
Saturday, November 4 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 1-1 Young Boys
Sunday, October 29 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 1-3 Brugge
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Grasshopper 2-1 Lugano
Sunday, October 22 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 0-1 Servette
Sunday, October 8 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Besiktas 2-3 Lugano
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League


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