SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 53.04%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 24.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Club Brugge |
24.46% ( 0.07) | 22.51% ( 0) | 53.04% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 59.47% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.67% ( 0.06) | 40.33% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.29% ( 0.06) | 62.71% ( -0.07) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.18% ( 0.09) | 29.82% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.1% ( 0.11) | 65.9% ( -0.11) |
| Club Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.74% ( -0) | 15.26% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.05% ( -0.01) | 43.95% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Club Brugge |
| 2-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.51% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 24.46% | 1-1 @ 10.35% 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.51% | 1-2 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 6.1% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.87% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.73% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 3.84% Total : 53.04% |
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