Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.
0.56) 
-0.59) 
