Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
