Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
0.73) 
-0.02) 
