Neither side have been particularly sharp to this point of the Apertura season, but the inconsistency of Necaxa away from home has us leaning towards Leon in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 59.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Club Leon	Draw	Necaxa
59.75% ( 0.1)	21.55% ( -0.03)	18.7% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 54.2% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.67% (

-0.02)

43.33% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.27% (

-0.02)

65.73% (

0.02)

Club Leon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.89% (

0.03)

14.11% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.26% (

0.05)

41.74% (

-0.05)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.1% (

-0.1)

36.9% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.31% (

-0.1)

73.69% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Club Leon 59.75%

Necaxa 18.7%

Draw 21.55%

Club Leon	Draw	Necaxa
1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 59.75%	1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.55%	0-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 18.7%