The last six meetings between these sides have seen either team win, although Pachuca have won four of those encounters. Leon have struggled for consistency at home and there is no evidence that they have found stability, which could haunt them against the visitors who have been playing decently in their last few away games.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
0.08) 
-0.09) 
