Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 22.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.04) 
