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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 10, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Libertad
3 - 0
Tachira

Sanabria (32'), Melgarejo (39'), Aguilar (78')
Caballero (53')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cova (56'), Robles (73'), Castillo (76')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Club Libertad and Deportivo Tachira.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Libertad
Wednesday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Tachira 0-2 River Plate
Wednesday, April 3 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 50%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 21.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 0-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Libertad would win this match.

Result
Club LibertadDrawDeportivo Tachira
50% (-0.226 -0.23) 28.03% (0.114 0.11) 21.98% (0.109 0.11)
Both teams to score 40.65% (-0.157 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.33% (-0.265 -0.27)63.67% (0.26000000000001 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.05% (-0.192 -0.19)82.95% (0.18899999999999 0.19)
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.17% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)25.83% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.2% (-0.31 -0.31)60.79% (0.307 0.31)
Deportivo Tachira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.81% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)45.19% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.92% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)81.08% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Club Libertad 49.98%
    Deportivo Tachira 21.98%
    Draw 28.03%
Club LibertadDrawDeportivo Tachira
1-0 @ 15.79% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 10.69% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.83% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.83% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 49.98%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 11.67% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 3.37% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 9.27% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 4.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.68% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.32%
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 21.98%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Libertad
Wednesday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Libertad
Tuesday, August 8 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Libertad 0-1 Fortaleza
Tuesday, August 1 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Tigre 0-1 Libertad
Friday, July 21 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Libertad 2-1 Tigre
Friday, July 14 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Libertad 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, June 27 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Tachira 0-2 River Plate
Wednesday, April 3 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Tachira (3-1 pen.)
Thursday, March 9 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Independiente 4-1 Tachira
Wednesday, August 10 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Tachira 0-1 Independiente
Wednesday, August 3 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Santos 1-1 Tachira (0-0 pen.)
Thursday, July 7 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Tachira 1-1 Santos
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana


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