SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 50%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 0-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Libertad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Libertad | Draw | Deportivo Tachira |
50% ( -0.23) | 28.03% ( 0.11) | 21.98% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 40.65% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.33% ( -0.27) | 63.67% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.05% ( -0.19) | 82.95% ( 0.19) |
| Club Libertad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.17% ( -0.23) | 25.83% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.2% ( -0.31) | 60.79% ( 0.31) |
| Deportivo Tachira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.81% ( -0.04) | 45.19% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.92% ( -0.03) | 81.08% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Club Libertad | Draw | Deportivo Tachira |
| 1-0 @ 15.79% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.9% Total : 49.98% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.43% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.99% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.32% 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.74% Total : 21.98% |
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