SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 44.55%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Club Nacional had a probability of 26.73%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 1-2 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Club Nacional win it was 1-0 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Nacional | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
26.73% ( -0.01) | 28.73% ( -0.03) | 44.55% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 42.88% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.05% ( 0.08) | 62.95% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.57% ( 0.06) | 82.43% ( -0.06) |
| Club Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.76% ( 0.04) | 40.25% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.12% ( 0.03) | 76.88% ( -0.03) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% ( 0.06) | 28.24% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.06% ( 0.08) | 63.94% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Club Nacional | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.95% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.71% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.81% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.43% 3-2 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 1.35% Total : 26.72% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.72% | 0-1 @ 14.37% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.09% ( 0)1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.61% Total : 44.55% |
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