SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Nacional win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Atletico Nacional win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Club Nacional in this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Nacional | Draw | Atletico Nacional |
43.73% ( -0.39) | 27.18% ( 0.35) | 29.08% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.39% ( -0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.34% ( -1.28) | 56.66% ( 1.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.37% ( -1.04) | 77.62% ( 1.04) |
| Club Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.27% ( -0.77) | 25.72% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.35% ( -1.06) | 60.64% ( 1.06) |
| Atletico Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.14% ( -0.65) | 34.85% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.41% ( -0.69) | 71.59% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Club Nacional | Draw | Atletico Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.21% Total : 43.73% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.43)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.15% Total : 29.08% |
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