SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 59.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 15.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Gimnasia |
59.77% ( -0.04) | 24.37% ( 0.02) | 15.86% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 40.7% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.45% ( -0.03) | 58.55% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.88% ( -0.03) | 79.12% ( 0.03) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.51% ( -0.03) | 19.49% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.64% ( -0.04) | 51.36% ( 0.05) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.55% ( 0) | 49.45% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.73% ( 0) | 84.27% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 15.75% 2-0 @ 12.88% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 59.76% | 1-1 @ 11.09% 0-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.2% Other @ 0.44% Total : 24.36% | 0-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.91% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.39% ( 0)1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 15.86% |
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