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Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 29, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Atletico Nacional
0 - 3
Nacional


Ocampo (22'), Ramirez (66'), Mosquera (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fernando Alfaro (24'), Arevalo (72'), Velazco (90+2' pen.)
Caballero (45+4')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Atletico Nacional and Club Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Atletico Nacional
Thursday, February 22 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Atletico Nacional
Thursday, February 22 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Club Nacional had a probability of 22.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Club Nacional win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Atletico NacionalDrawClub Nacional
52.74% (-0.338 -0.34) 25.15% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 22.11% (0.374 0.37)
Both teams to score 48.22% (0.563 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.12% (0.502 0.5)53.87% (-0.503 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.66% (0.42 0.42)75.33% (-0.42 -0.42)
Atletico Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (0.061999999999998 0.06)20.43% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.13% (0.097000000000001 0.1)52.87% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)
Club Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.6% (0.659 0.66)39.4% (-0.661 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.9% (0.609 0.61)76.09% (-0.60900000000001 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Nacional 52.73%
    Club Nacional 22.11%
    Draw 25.15%
Atletico NacionalDrawClub Nacional
1-0 @ 12.78% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-0 @ 10.15% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.38% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.01% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.33% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.99% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 52.73%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 8.05% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 7.5% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.49% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.72% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.051 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 22.11%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Atletico Nacional
Thursday, February 22 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Racing 3-0 Atletico Nacional
Friday, August 11 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico Nacional 4-2 Racing
Friday, August 4 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico Nacional 0-1 Patronato
Wednesday, June 28 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Olimpia 3-0 Atletico Nacional
Friday, June 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Melgar 0-1 Atletico Nacional
Thursday, May 25 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Atletico Nacional
Thursday, February 22 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 3-0 Aucas
Friday, February 16 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Aucas 1-0 Nacional
Friday, February 9 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cristal 5-1 Nacional
Wednesday, March 1 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Cristal
Tuesday, February 21 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Huancayo
Wednesday, February 15 at 12am in Copa Libertadores


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