SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 79.98%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 6.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12%) and 1-0 (10.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.46%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colombia | Draw | Bolivia |
79.98% ( 1.05) | 13.62% ( -0.92) | 6.4% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 41.05% ( 2.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.96% ( 3.93) | 39.03% ( -3.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.64% ( 4) | 61.36% ( -4.01) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.28% ( 1.14) | 7.72% ( -1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.51% ( 2.85) | 27.48% ( -2.85) |
| Bolivia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.48% ( 2.3) | 55.51% ( -2.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.81% ( 1.3) | 88.19% ( -1.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colombia | Draw | Bolivia |
| 2-0 @ 14.05% ( -0.99) 3-0 @ 12% ( -0.15)1-0 @ 10.97% ( -1.44)2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.41)4-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.49)5-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.37)5-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.36)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.25)6-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.24)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.23)6-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.2)Other @ 3.05% Total : 79.96% | 1-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.84)2-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.45% Total : 13.62% | 0-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.98% Total : 6.4% |
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