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Thursday, November 21
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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 2, 2021 at 9pm UK
 
CN

Bolivia
1 - 1
Colombia

Saucedo (83')
Jusino (27'), Villarroel (62'), Algaranaz (90+4')
Algaranaz (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Martinez (69')
Munoz (45+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Bolivia win it was 1-0 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
BoliviaDrawColombia
21.5%24.81%53.69%
Both teams to score 48.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.81%53.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.24%74.76%
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.38%39.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.7%76.3%
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.22%19.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.17%51.83%
Score Analysis
    Bolivia 21.5%
    Colombia 53.68%
    Draw 24.8%
BoliviaDrawColombia
1-0 @ 7.25%
2-1 @ 5.44%
2-0 @ 3.36%
3-1 @ 1.68%
3-2 @ 1.36%
3-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 21.5%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 7.84%
2-2 @ 4.41%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 12.69%
0-2 @ 10.29%
1-2 @ 9.53%
0-3 @ 5.56%
1-3 @ 5.15%
2-3 @ 2.38%
0-4 @ 2.25%
1-4 @ 2.09%
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 53.68%

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