Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Bolivia win it was 1-0 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.