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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 58.78%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 21.6% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.11%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (5.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Inter Miami |
58.78% ( 0.57) | 19.62% ( -0.18) | 21.6% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 66.36% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.27% ( 0.36) | 29.73% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.14% ( 0.44) | 50.86% ( -0.44) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.88% ( 0.25) | 10.12% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.7% ( 0.58) | 33.3% ( -0.58) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.82% ( -0.1) | 26.17% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.74% ( -0.13) | 61.26% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.95% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.69% Total : 58.78% | 1-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.46% Total : 19.62% | 1-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 21.6% |
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