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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for DC United had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
26.62% ( 0.02) | 22.18% ( 0) | 51.21% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 62.98% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.29% ( 0.01) | 36.71% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.13% ( 0.02) | 58.87% ( -0.02) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.74% ( 0.02) | 26.26% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.62% ( 0.03) | 61.38% ( -0.03) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.41% ( -0) | 14.59% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.33% ( -0) | 42.67% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 2-1 @ 6.59% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.12% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.42% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 26.62% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.83% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.18% | 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.09% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.56% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.07% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.19% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.96% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.13% Other @ 4.32% Total : 51.21% |
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