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Major League Soccer
Sep 22, 2024 at 12.30am UK
MAPFRE Stadium
OC

Columbus Crew
4 - 3
Orlando City

Rossi (30'), Ramirez (51'), Camilo Hernandez (71'), Jackson (85')
Matan (44'), Yeboah (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Enrique (75'), Muriel (78' pen., 90+7')
Smith (81'), Angulo (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 0-2 Columbus Crew
Thursday, September 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 2-0 Charlotte FC
Thursday, September 19 at 1.15am in Major League Soccer

We said: Columbus Crew 2-1 Orlando City

Columbus Crew have been strong at home and have a solid record against Orlando City. Despite Orlando's recent form, the Crew's attacking prowess and home advantage give them the edge in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 53.14%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 24.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawOrlando City
53.14% (-0.45 -0.45) 22.22% (0.146 0.15) 24.64% (0.303 0.3)
Both teams to score 60.73% (-0.169 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.22% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)38.77% (0.381 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.92% (-0.403 -0.4)61.08% (0.402 0.4)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.32% (-0.28 -0.28)14.68% (0.278 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.16% (-0.538 -0.54)42.84% (0.538 0.54)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (0.033000000000001 0.03)28.82% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.32% (0.039999999999999 0.04)64.68% (-0.041999999999987 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 53.14%
    Orlando City 24.64%
    Draw 22.21%
Columbus CrewDrawOrlando City
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.12% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.2% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.98% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.86% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.39% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 53.14%
1-1 @ 10.09% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.076 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.21%
1-2 @ 6.28% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-1 @ 5.26% (0.099 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.27% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 24.64%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Toronto 0-2 Columbus Crew
Thursday, September 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-0 Columbus Crew
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-4 Seattle
Sunday, September 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 4-2 NY City
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-1 Columbus Crew
Thursday, August 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 3-1 Los Angeles
Monday, August 26 at 12.15am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Orlando City 2-0 Charlotte FC
Thursday, September 19 at 1.15am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 3-0 New England
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 3-0 Nashville
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 3-0 Orlando City
Sunday, August 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 0-0 Cruz Azul (4-5 pen.)
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 Atletico San Luis (5-4 pen.)
Monday, August 5 at 1am in Leagues Cup


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