SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 53.14%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 24.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Orlando City |
53.14% ( -0.45) | 22.22% ( 0.15) | 24.64% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 60.73% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.22% ( -0.38) | 38.77% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.92% ( -0.4) | 61.08% ( 0.4) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.32% ( -0.28) | 14.68% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.16% ( -0.54) | 42.84% ( 0.54) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.17% ( 0.03) | 28.82% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.32% ( 0.04) | 64.68% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Orlando City |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.24% Total : 53.14% | 1-1 @ 10.09% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.21% | 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.37% Total : 24.64% |
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