Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 49.87%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-4 win for Inter Miami in this match.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | Inter Miami |
49.87% ( -0.11) | 23.12% ( -0.01) | 27.01% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 59.93% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.11% ( 0.14) | 40.89% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.72% ( 0.15) | 63.28% ( -0.15) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.43% ( 0.01) | 16.57% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.64% ( 0.03) | 46.36% ( -0.03) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.83% ( 0.16) | 28.17% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.14% ( 0.2) | 63.86% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | Inter Miami |
2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.57% 4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.36% Total : 49.87% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.12% | 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 27.01% |
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