SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a New York City FC win it was 1-2 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New York City FC |
59.11% ( -0.51) | 21.54% ( 0.18) | 19.34% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 55.39% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.69% ( -0.32) | 42.3% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.29% ( -0.32) | 64.71% ( 0.32) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.03% ( -0.26) | 13.97% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.53% ( -0.51) | 41.47% ( 0.52) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.39% ( 0.17) | 35.61% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.62% ( 0.17) | 72.38% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New York City FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.05% Total : 59.11% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.54% | 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.85% Total : 19.34% |
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