While Miami have performed admirably without Messi, we believe this match will be a step too far for them as the Crew are firing on all cylinders, and the Herons have not proven to be consistent or strong enough at the back.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 63.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 17.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 1-0 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-2 win for Columbus Crew in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Columbus Crew.