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Major League Soccer
Jul 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
CF

Inter Miami
2 - 1
Chicago Fire

Rojas (6'), Alba (75')
Taylor (39'), Fray (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Czichos (74')
Gutierrez (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Toronto
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-1 Chicago Fire
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 2-1 Chicago Fire

This game may be closer than many might think, but Miami are more than comfortable in these kind of matches, winning seven times this year by a single goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Miami in this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawChicago Fire
52.44% (-2.96 -2.96) 21.96% (1.34 1.34) 25.6% (1.628 1.63)
Both teams to score 62.74% (-3.107 -3.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.4% (-4.851 -4.85)36.6% (4.859 4.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.25% (-5.485 -5.49)58.75% (5.493 5.49)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.86% (-2.51 -2.51)14.15% (2.517 2.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.19% (-5.158 -5.16)41.81% (5.166 5.17)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.07% (-1.435 -1.44)26.93% (1.444 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.74% (-1.927 -1.93)62.26% (1.935 1.94)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 52.44%
    Chicago Fire 25.6%
    Draw 21.96%
Inter MiamiDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.179 0.18)
1-0 @ 7.45% (1.074 1.07)
2-0 @ 7.29% (0.425 0.43)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.496 -0.5)
3-0 @ 4.75% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-2 @ 4.09% (-0.511 -0.51)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.572 -0.57)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.325 -0.33)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.475 -0.48)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.365 -0.37)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.231 -0.23)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 52.44%
1-1 @ 9.78% (1.058 1.06)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 3.81% (0.846 0.85)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.308 -0.31)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.96%
1-2 @ 6.41% (0.454 0.45)
0-1 @ 5% (0.947 0.95)
0-2 @ 3.28% (0.509 0.51)
1-3 @ 2.8% (0.089 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.172 0.17)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 25.6%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Toronto
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 6-1 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-2 Inter Miami
Thursday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, June 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Columbus Crew
Thursday, June 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-1 Chicago Fire
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-0 NY City
Sunday, July 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-0 Chicago Fire
Monday, July 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 4-3 Philadelphia
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 2-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 4-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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