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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 57.21%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 21.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 1-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Inter Miami |
57.21% ( -0.7) | 21.29% ( 0.43) | 21.5% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 59.85% ( -1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.93% ( -1.73) | 38.06% ( 1.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.67% ( -1.86) | 60.33% ( 1.86) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.83% ( -0.76) | 13.16% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.14% ( -1.57) | 39.86% ( 1.56) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.93% ( -0.75) | 31.07% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.61% ( -0.88) | 67.38% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.21)1-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.44)3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.15)5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.72% Total : 57.21% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.33)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.29% | 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.72% Total : 21.5% |
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