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Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
TF

Inter Miami
3 - 1
Toronto

Gomez (43'), Redondo (53', 59')
Redondo (62'), Fray (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Etienne (80')
Etienne (52')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 6-1 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 3-1 Toronto

Miami have proven they can win without Messi, despite what we saw in their previous encounter, and they should be able to expose a Toronto backline that have rarely looked organised or compact this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 58.28%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 21.12% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 1-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Inter Miami in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Inter Miami.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawToronto
58.28% (1.504 1.5) 20.59% (-0.538 -0.54) 21.12% (-0.968 -0.97)
Both teams to score 61.83% (0.492 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.78% (1.289 1.29)35.22% (-1.29 -1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.76% (1.42 1.42)57.23% (-1.422 -1.42)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.05% (0.84100000000001 0.84)11.95% (-0.842 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.67% (1.758 1.76)37.33% (-1.76 -1.76)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22% (-0.11399999999999 -0.11)29.78% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.15% (-0.136 -0.14)65.85% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 58.28%
    Toronto 21.12%
    Draw 20.59%
Inter MiamiDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.03% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.56% (-0.244 -0.24)
3-1 @ 6.89% (0.206 0.21)
3-0 @ 5.69% (0.186 0.19)
3-2 @ 4.17% (0.112 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.66% (0.223 0.22)
4-0 @ 3.02% (0.193 0.19)
4-2 @ 2.22% (0.129 0.13)
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.141 0.14)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.121 0.12)
5-2 @ 0.94% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 58.28%
1-1 @ 9.16% (-0.325 -0.32)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.56% (-0.236 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 20.59%
1-2 @ 5.55% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-1 @ 4.31% (-0.301 -0.3)
0-2 @ 2.61% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 21.12%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cincinnati 6-1 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-2 Inter Miami
Thursday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, June 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Columbus Crew
Thursday, June 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-3 St Louis City
Sunday, June 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 4-0 Toronto
Sunday, July 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Orlando City
Thursday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Toronto
Sunday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 3-0 Toronto
Sunday, June 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Nashville
Thursday, June 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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