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Leagues Cup | Round of 32
Aug 9, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
TF

Inter Miami
4 - 3
Toronto

Rojas (3', 59'), Gomez (11'), Suarez (20')
Cremaschi (84')
Martinez (28')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Insigne (15' pen., 41' pen.), Allen (79' og.)
Laryea (43'), Wingo (54')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pachuca 1-2 Toronto
Monday, August 5 at 1am in Leagues Cup

We said: Inter Miami 2-1 Toronto

While Messi's presence can make a massive difference, Miami are not a one-trick pony, and we believe they will find a way to edge past Toronto without their captain like they have several times in 2024. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 53.56%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawToronto
53.56% (0.143 0.14) 22.08% (0.028000000000002 0.03) 24.35% (-0.173 -0.17)
Both teams to score 60.89% (-0.301 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.59% (-0.307 -0.31)38.4% (0.307 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.3% (-0.327 -0.33)60.69% (0.325 0.32)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.58% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)14.41% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.67% (-0.116 -0.12)42.33% (0.115 0.12)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15% (-0.3 -0.3)28.85% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.29% (-0.372 -0.37)64.71% (0.372 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 53.56%
    Toronto 24.36%
    Draw 22.08%
Inter MiamiDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.05% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 7.8% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.04% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.89% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.03% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.44% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 53.56%
1-1 @ 10.01% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.16% (0.06 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.08%
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.17% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.21% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 24.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Tigres 2-1 Inter Miami
Sunday, August 4 at 1am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Puebla 0-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 28 at 1am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, July 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Toronto
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 6-1 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-2 Inter Miami
Thursday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Pachuca 1-2 Toronto
Monday, August 5 at 1am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-0 Toronto (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, July 28 at 1am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Montreal 0-1 Toronto
Sunday, July 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Toronto
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 4-0 Toronto
Sunday, July 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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