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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 73.77%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 9.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.21%) and 3-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Toronto |
73.77% ( 0.23) | 16.31% ( -0.01) | 9.91% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 48.28% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.08% ( -0.67) | 38.92% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.76% ( -0.71) | 61.23% ( 0.71) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.91% ( -0.11) | 9.08% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.12% ( -0.27) | 30.87% ( 0.27) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.11% ( -0.89) | 46.89% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.59% ( -0.69) | 82.4% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.26)3-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.16)2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.07)6-0 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 3.91% Total : 73.76% | 1-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.8% Total : 16.31% | 0-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.54% Total : 9.91% |
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