Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 51.95%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
51.95% ( 0.57) | 21.88% ( 0.06) | 26.16% ( -0.64) |
Both teams to score 63.6% ( -0.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.29% ( -0.89) | 35.7% ( 0.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.23% ( -0.99) | 57.77% ( 0.99) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.01% ( -0.13) | 13.99% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.49% ( -0.26) | 41.5% ( 0.25) |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.95% ( -0.91) | 26.05% ( 0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.9% ( -1.24) | 61.09% ( 1.24) |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.72% Total : 51.95% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.88% | 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.29% Total : 26.16% |
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