SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 1-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Dallas |
58.66% ( 0.73) | 21.35% ( -0.08) | 19.99% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 57.21% ( -0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.56% ( -0.58) | 40.44% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.18% ( -0.6) | 62.82% ( 0.6) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.5% ( 0.04) | 13.5% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.46% ( 0.07) | 40.54% ( -0.07) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.14% ( -0.98) | 33.86% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.47% ( -1.07) | 70.53% ( 1.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Dallas |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.26)1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.36% Total : 58.66% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.35% | 1-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 4.95% 0-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.15% Total : 19.99% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
