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SK
Leagues Cup | Group Stage
Jul 29, 2024 at 2am UK
Children's Mercy Park
CF

Kansas
2 - 1
Chicago Fire

Castellanos (39'), Agade (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Koutsias (22')
Shannon (53')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 22.36% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 1-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Kansas City in this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas CityDrawChicago Fire
56.79%20.86%22.36%
Both teams to score 62.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.15%34.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.18%56.82%
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.75%12.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.03%37.97%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.5%28.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.72%64.28%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Kansas City 56.79%
    Chicago Fire 22.36%
    Draw 20.86%
Sporting Kansas CityDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.66%
2-0 @ 7.7%
1-0 @ 7.33%
3-1 @ 6.76%
3-0 @ 5.39%
3-2 @ 4.24%
4-1 @ 3.55%
4-0 @ 2.83%
4-2 @ 2.23%
5-1 @ 1.49%
5-0 @ 1.19%
5-2 @ 0.94%
4-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 56.79%
1-1 @ 9.2%
2-2 @ 6.06%
0-0 @ 3.49%
3-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 20.86%
1-2 @ 5.78%
0-1 @ 4.38%
0-2 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.54%
1-3 @ 2.42%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 22.36%

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