Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 50.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 24.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.06) 
