Dragao appear to have lost their confidence since they exited the Copa Sudamericana in such devastating fashion against Sao Paulo
Even though Goianiense have collected some positive results at Corinthians Arena, we believe Timao will pull out the victory because they are in much better form, while showing more consistency throughout the domestic campaign.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 59.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
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