Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 60.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 15.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.99%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
0.69) 
-0.91) 
