Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 16.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.93%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.