SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 53.01%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Arbroath |
53.01% ( -0.01) | 23.03% | 23.95% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.06% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.75% ( 0.01) | 43.25% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.35% ( 0) | 65.65% ( -0.01) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.69% ( -0) | 16.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.12% | 45.88% ( -0) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.18% ( 0.01) | 31.82% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.74% ( 0.01) | 68.25% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Arbroath |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% 1-0 @ 9.41% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.53% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.91% 3-0 @ 5.16% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.38% 4-1 @ 2.68% 4-0 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.33% Total : 53.01% | 1-1 @ 10.77% 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.19% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.4% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 23.95% |
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