Based on their results over the last week, this is a difficult match to predict. Middlesbrough will be buoyed by seeing off Huddersfield in the EFL Cup, yet we feel that Coventry have done everything but win, leading us to predict a narrow home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
Coventry City	Draw	Middlesbrough
31.45% ( 0.01)	25.68% ( 0)	42.87% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 54.15% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.23% (

-0)

49.77% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.23%

71.77% (

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.41% (

0.01)

29.59% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.38% (

0.01)

65.62% (

-0)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.91% (

-0.01)

23.09% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.06% (

-0.01)

56.94% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Coventry City 31.45%

Middlesbrough 42.87%

Draw 25.67%

Coventry City	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.32% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.21% 3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.45%	1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.34% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 42.87%