SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Middlesbrough |
43.18% ( -0.43) | 24.89% ( 0.23) | 31.93% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 56.98% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.82% ( -0.98) | 46.18% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.53% ( -0.93) | 68.47% ( 0.93) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.58% ( -0.61) | 21.41% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.58% ( -0.94) | 54.42% ( 0.94) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.51% ( -0.36) | 27.49% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.01% ( -0.46) | 62.99% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.54% Total : 43.18% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.93% Total : 31.93% |
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