This is a really difficult match to call, as there is not too much between the two sides in terms of quality. The two teams played out a 1-1 draw when they last locked horns in January, and we can see the same result occurring on Saturday, which both managers would likely take if it were offered ahead of kickoff.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 15.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-2.52) 
4.76) 
