Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
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