Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 50.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 24.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a CD Guadalajara win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cruz Azul in this match.

Result
Cruz Azul	Draw	CD Guadalajara
50.3% ( -0.58)	24.95% ( -0.03)	24.75% ( 0.61)

Both teams to score 51.74% (

0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.29% (

0.62)

50.7% (

-0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.39% (

0.54)

72.61% (

-0.55)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.83% (

0.01)

20.17% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.54% (

0.01)

52.46% (

-0.01)

CD Guadalajara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.81% (

0.87)

35.19% (

-0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.05% (

0.9)

71.94% (

-0.9)

Score Analysis

Cruz Azul 50.3%

CD Guadalajara 24.75%

Draw 24.94%

Cruz Azul	Draw	CD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.73% Total : 50.3%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.94%	0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.03% Total : 24.75%