Cruz Azul have dominated this fixture to a large extent and will back themselves to get the job done on home turf. While we expect Mazatlan to pose a stern test, we can see the hosts edging out their visitors to make it through to the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 17.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Cruz Azul	Draw	Mazatlan
61.95% ( 0.08)	20.35% ( 0.01)	17.7% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 56.41% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.52% (

-0.16)

39.47% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.18% (

-0.17)

61.82% (

0.17)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.75% (

-0.03)

12.24% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.04% (

-0.06)

37.96% (

0.06)

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.28% (

-0.19)

35.71% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.51% (

-0.2)

72.49% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Cruz Azul 61.95%

Mazatlan 17.7%

Draw 20.35%

Cruz Azul	Draw	Mazatlan
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 3.82% Total : 61.95%	1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.35%	1-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 17.7%