Leagues Cup | Round of 16
Aug 14, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Azteca
Mazatlan win 3-1 on penalties
We said: Cruz Azul 2-1 Mazatlan
Cruz Azul have dominated this fixture to a large extent and will back themselves to get the job done on home turf.
While we expect Mazatlan to pose a stern test, we can see the hosts edging out their visitors to make it through to the quarter-finals.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 17.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result |
| Cruz Azul | Draw | Mazatlan |
61.95% ( 0.08) | 20.35% ( 0.01) | 17.7% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.41% ( -0.19) |
| 60.52% ( -0.16) | 39.47% ( 0.16) |
| 38.18% ( -0.17) | 61.82% ( 0.17) |
| 87.75% ( -0.03) | 12.24% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.04% ( -0.06) | 37.96% ( 0.06) |
| 64.28% ( -0.19) | 35.71% ( 0.19) |
